Tag Archives: flooding

Extreme weather events on the rise, related to climate change

WASHINGTON – Heavy rainfall events, devastating droughts and intense wildfires are all on the rise. The increased instances of these extreme weather events can be directly related to climate change. If something is not done to slow the climate change process, these extreme events will get worse and could ultimately become not only a national security threat—but an international security threat.

The National Center for Biotechnology Information defines extreme weather events as “weather phenomena that are at the extremes of the historical distribution and are rare for a particular place and/or time, especially severe or unseasonal weather.”

In recent years, it has been recorded that there has been more heavy rainfall that leads to severe flooding in the Northeast region of the United States and more droughts in the West, particularly in California. These events are directly related to a steady change in the global climate.

“We need to be aware that climate change is going to make these extremes even worse,” said Dr. David Easterling, chief of the Scientific Services Division at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Climatic Data Center in Ashville, NC. Easterling studies climate change’s effect on extreme weather events.

Easterling warned that an extreme weather event like a drought could lead to international problems.

“If there were simultaneous droughts in the central United States, Russia and China, all areas where a lot of grain is grown…that can effect a lot of people,” said Easterling.

The U.S. government, along with numerous local and state officials, have realized that climate change and its relation to extreme weather events can lead to potential problems and have taken measures to address the issue.

For instance, naval bases have taken into account the need to possibly raise airstrips in preparation for sea level rise. States and cities have been tackling a rise in hot weather days by implementing heat advisory systems and creating cooling stations around in areas experiencing extreme heat.

The White House has also been looking into America’s national security both domestically and abroad. In May 2015, the White House released “The National Security Implications of a Changing Climate,” which compiles findings from numerous federal reports about the effects that climate change is having on people.

“The national security implications of climate change impacts are far reaching, as they may exacerbate existing stressors, contributing to poverty, environmental degradation, and political instability, providing enabling environments for terrorist activity abroad,” said the report.

Both the White House report and Easterling warned that extreme weather events could cause flooding, which could impact transportation by washing away roads and flooding airports. Floods can also present health risks to humans such as the lack of safe drinking water.

Easterling also noted that climate change is inevitable, but the rate at which it occurs has a lot to do with humans.

“Consider that long term, climate change is happening because we’re putting a lot of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere…” said Easterling. “If we can reduce how much carbon dioxide we are putting in the atmosphere, then we can eventually begin reducing the impact that carbon dioxide is having on the climate.”

Regular seismic activity despite slew of natural disasters, experts say

CHICAGO — Despite the seemingly significant and frequent natural disasters since the Haitian earthquake in January 2010, experts say there is no connection between the earthquakes around the globe, major flooding in South America and volcanic eruptions in Iceland that have followed since.

“There’s no particularly worrisome or intriguing seismic activity,” said Emile Okal, professor of earth and planetary sciences at Northwestern University.

“The distribution of earthquakes is more or less random,” added Philip Carpenter, professor of geology and environmental science at Northern Illinois University.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, on average, there are an estimated 15 earthquakes of a magnitude 7.0 each year.  And experts say we have just come off a 40-year period that, if anything, had lower than expected activity levels.

“If you average seismic activity over long enough time, you would say that perhaps the 1960 to 2000 period had been a little deficient,” Okal said. “We hadn’t really had any major earthquakes since 1965.”

Okal said the reason for reduced activity remains unknown.  But we do know that earthquakes are caused by movements in tectonic plates which lie underneath the earth’s surface.  These plates move a few centimeters each year, buckling and deforming at the edges to pass one another but sometimes they snap, similar to a tire screeching on pavement when driving, which is when an earthquake occurs.  Scientists can measure levels of deformation but they cannot predict if and when such a snap might occur.

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security, through the Federal Emergency Management Agency, considers natural disasters in the scope of national security. However, because these events are random and unpredictable agencies can only ensure emergency plans are prepared and ready for execution when needed.

In Illinois, April is Earthquake Preparedness Month, reminding residents they are situated by two active seismic zones; the New Madrid, located in the Central Mississippi Valley that extends to several neighboring states and the Wabash Valley, which stretches from southeastern Illinois to southwestern Indiana.

“We are within the most active earthquake area east of the Rocky Mountains,” said Patti Thompson, spokeswoman for the Illinois Emergency Management Agency.

Although the earthquakes would not affect residents of northern Illinois directly, the relocation of families and use of state resources in helping disaster victims would be felt state-wide.

“If we had a 7.7 major earthquake in the southern part of the state, as many as 17,000 homes could be totally destroyed with another 25,000 to 30,000 that could be damaged,” Thompson said.

The largest earthquake in the continental United States occurred in the New Madrid zone in the winter of 1811- 1812. There has been activity on this line since but the quakes have hovered around the magnitude 5.0 range, meaning little damage was caused.  There is very little evidence of deformation in the zone but scientists are still actively monitoring the area to better understand if that really means an earthquake is not likely occur in the region.

IEMA estimates that a serious earthquake in the New Madrid zone could result in $60 to $80 billion of damage.

“It is advisable to prepare for the earthquakes,” said Carpenter of Northern Illinois University, “because it’s impossible to make a prediction.”